It is nearly post time in Iowa – Final Predictions:
Cruz over Trump by a nose – the GOP base in Iowa will turn out for Cruz – changes the dynamics of the race and makes it truly up in the air. Rubio comes in third, giving him hope for NH – But its really a two man race unless Rubio mans up quick. Polling shows Trump slightly ahead, but I do not trust it – too many crossover voters will not show up because they have lives and better things to do than sit around in line at a caucus. Too bad for Trump its not a real election, just a caucus.
Sanders over Clinton by 3 points – again, the base of the Dems likes Sanders better – because the base of the Democratic party is so very left wing and extremist right now in their wacky ideology. Final polling averages on realclearpolitics.com also show Clinton ahead, but I like the underdogs tonight to stun establishment media and fatcat lobbyist wanna be experts like CNN and MSNBC and Fox analysts tonight.
Where oh where is the Democratic Leadership Conerence or DLC now? Hillary Rodham Clinton sure wishes they still existed.
All indications point towards a long nomination contest, with the latest polling again showing that “conventional wisdom” of Trump as winner of Iowa and Clinton as the “inevitable nominee” again is absolutely false, as is the usual result of the “groupthink” of the old, pathetic and herd-mentality media.
Congrats to the Cruz and Sanders field operatives, who are the true heros of the coming victory tonight in the Iowa caucuses for their bosses.
Get ready America, its a real race, despite what the Clinton old media like Stephanopolis says – Hillary could become the first nominee to be “inevitable” twice and lose both times. Is there another Barack waiting in the wings? O’Malley anyone?
Perhaps it is time for the candidates for the Presidency to re-learn the lessons of the Obama Administration – relying on media love alone is not enough to be a real world leading man – isn’t that right, President Obama (courtesy of HuffPo)????
Sole proprietor of the objective truth on American politics on the net………and self-described leader of the new media.
See my videos at James Geoffrey Anderson you tube channel
P.S. I am personally conservative but an objective analyst of the likely outcomes. I bet Nate Silver never admits that, eh Nate? BTW once again Nate Silver and 538 are wrong – betting on Trump like morons.
— G (@CentristNet) February 1, 2016
Cruz wins And the media is wrong again
A short video update:
Sanders gaining now within A few votes more to come.
A brave man, the only sane commentator on the left side of American politics, Alan Dershowitz, is once again pointing out some of the most open and obvious and completely illogical tendencies of the totalitarian left. Today’s lecture by Alan involves the alleged “safe spaces” thing that the extreme left wing “youth” have come up with on American campuses. And of course, the entire focus of the “safe spaces” movement is to make it impossible to support the State of Israel on an American college campus, but make it also impossible to oppose radical left wing extremist activism such communist, nazi and other socialist thought on American college campuses. This is a travesty for American democracy and the whole system of long term governance as college is supposed to be a place of the free flow of ideas, to create a marketplace of ideas – not a place where one extremist ideology, such as the communist/nazi/socialist ideology that current holds sway in the Democratic Party, bullies everyone who dares not submit to such Orwellian tactics. Here’s a sampling of Dershowitz’s brave essay, which is of course being attacked by vitriolic left wingers as “insensitive” or whatever the PC police are whining about today:
One of the central demands repeated by protesters at campuses across the country has been for university administrators to transform campuses into “safe spaces,” where students are protected not only from physical violence but also from ideas that they find threatening or offensive. However, the “safe spaces” envisioned by these protesters seem to matter only when the interests of those who share their political persuasions are affected.
There has been conspicuously little attention paid to incidents of anti-Semitism reported, for example, at Hunter College, where students supportive of Israel were chased away from a rally blaming high tuition fees on “Zionist administrators,” and where protestors shouted “Zionists out of CUNY” (the City University of New York), by which they meant Jews.
Another problem with this is that the “youth” on American campuses do not actually believe in communism, nazism or other socialist thought – they are instead being manipulated by the same people who lost the Cold War – the Communists, led by followers of admitted Marxist Bill Ayers (like President Obama) and followers of Frank Marshall Davis like President Obama), the followers of Mao Se Tung in the Democratic Party like White House Communications Director Anita Dunn, followers of Che Ghevara, followers of Hugo Chavez (like Hollywood and President Obama) and followers of many genocidal dictators who utilized communist ideals to murder, rape and pillage throughout the last 200-odd years.
The extreme left in America simply cannot put down the sauce of dictatorship, tyranny and absolute government control over economic activity. Even the supposed intelligentsia, like the New York Times, the alleged paper of record in America, actually supports and runs columns in its pages wishing on a star that America was more like the current dictatorship set up in mainland China, known as the People’s Republic of China. The worst offender, of course, is Thomas Friedman, who actually said he’s more in favor of dictatorial, one party rule in America than the present Constitutional system of checks and balances between the three branches of the American government.
Simply put, the extreme left has taken over the Democratic party in America, and I wonder where the fuck the conservative Democrats are. How could they allow the youth of America to be brainwashed by political correctness and “safe spaces” to become totalitarian socialists? Maybe Hillary Clinton can finally step up and set the record straight, and once and for all disclaim her allegiance to Saul Alinsky and hard left socialist ideology. Of course, as few Americans apparently know, Hilldawg and Bill rolled over the Soviet Union in the 1960’s, and let’s just say it wasn’t all for vacation time.
America 2015 – better or worse than the America in the Watchmen series? You decide, American people.
Looks like the Cruz bounce theory, regarding New Hampshire at least, is overstated.
No bounce at all in NH – 7% for Cruz…but Rubio did pop a bit.
Nationally, Cruz actually went down two points from the prior Quinnipiac poll…and got a plus 3 from PPP from prior to Iowa polling. Look for the national media to catch up to my analysis soon and attack Cruz with all they got. Still, Cruz can win versus either Sanders or Clinton because he’s young and they are ancient.
I suppose Cruz is going to need an Northeastern moderate Republican as a VP – Scott Brown, the red phone is ringing…
Seems like wishful thinking, I doubt the FBI has the balls to actually indict HRC, although he did commit much worse crimes that General Petraeus and he was forced to plead out to a misdemeanor and resign. All he did is screw the wrong chick and then somehow that ends his career? The greatest military career of any post-cold war officer in the United States military?
And BTW, how much “classified information” did Bill Clinton pass on to his mistresses, like Monica, during his Presidency? How much did Hillary pass on during her “dalliances” with Huma?
Of course, the Clintons always have and apparently always will think they remain above the law and not subject to same. Remember the debate over the definition of what “is” is?
And the General is the best damn General America had, and still is, but he has to sit on the sidelines after winning the Iraqi war in 2006-2009. Even Slow-Joe Biden admitted this, and hilariously enough, Slow Joe claimed that Petraeus’s victory in Iraq was somehow Obama’s accomplishment (despite the defeatist caucus of Democrats trying to pull funding from 2003-2008, which included Hilldawg and Barry Obama)
Of course, if you listen to Hilldawg and Barry today, Islamic State is somehow Bush’s fault. Square that circle, media. LOL. The war was won, clearly, by the 2008 election. And now its Bush’s fault? Hasn’t America had enough of ridiculously bad Democratic foreign policy, which resulted in the collapse of Iraq, Syria and Libya? So much for smart power from Samantha Power. Maybe the Administration needs to read the Foreign Policy magazine, the conservative authors, some. Or talk to my old Professor Schecterman at University of Miami, Florida. Or any foreign policy realists. Such morons in the Administration foreign policy wing. That’s what you get when you let Axelrod into the Situation Room, right?
Why should Hillary not be subject to the same rule of law as General Petraeus? Is this not one nation, under laws that apply equally under the Bill of Rights and the text of the Constitution of the United States?
As I have previously stated, she should have pled to a misdemeanor when this first came out. I, of course, was all over it and the old media whined and cried.
Sometimes the coverup is worse than the crime, Hillary. You should have learned that being a Watergate counsel. LOL
A nice catch of a video for all my friendly neighborhood bloggers and the public at large. The MSM is barred from watching cuz they steal my talking points, as do the scum politicians.
Here’s a long episode, just for my dear old dad, Mike Anderson, who went to Princeton and is a true Tiger Cat.
Hillary and the Congressional Dems had better start doing their homework and figure out a way to not only appeal to far left loon democrats. Pelosi and Hilldawg are like two anchors dragging reasonable, cool democrats, like conservative democrats down to the bottom of the ocean. As in electoral devastation.
Even the left wing media agrees. Shocking ABC would admit this, but even ABC knows the Dems are probably fucked this year, so they are starting, very slowly, to tell the truth about that so as to preserve their credibility later.
Reasonable best case scenario for the GOP: they win the presidential race, expand control of the Senate, retain control of the House, and expand majority of governor’s and state legislative bodies.
Reasonable worst case scenario for the Dems: they lose the presidential race, lose seats in the Senate, don’t gain control of the House, and lose more governor’s and state legislative races.
Reasonable best case scenario for the Dems: they win the presidential race, gain control of the Senate by a slim margin, pick up a few seats in the House but don’t control, and win a few governor’s races and legislative seats.
So when you look at the various scenarios for the 2016 general election you reach the following conclusion: the upside for the GOP is much better than any upside for the Dems, and the downside for the Dems is much, much worse than any downside for the GOP.
Sad but true, sort of like Metallica songs.
Does any American understand why the Obama Administration and Soros are bringing Syrian refugees into America?
In spite of its transparent attempt to ape conservative rhetoric, funding for the National Immigration Forum comes overwhelmingly from left-wing foundations including not just Soros’ FPOS, but the Carnegie Corporation of New York, John S. and James L. Knight Foundation, and the Ford Foundation.
The truth is that, as the overwhelming bipartisan U.S. House vote indicated today, not even a majority of Democrats in the public still back President Obama’s suicidal plan to bring 10,000 Syrians to America.
The truth is, it’s the furthest-left forces in America, who for 50 years have systematically worked to bring what they hope will be future leftist voters into the country, that are using a sock-puppet front group to try to persuade conservatives to leave themselves open to a Paris-style attack.
Congress sure doesnt know why. Not even the scumbag left wing congressional Democrats can stomach voting for importing Syrian refugees. But of course, one hag amongst hags always votes for Soros sponsored garbage that hurts America – Nancy Pelosi – must be the “italian” influence. HEre’s a list of the biggest losers in the Democratic party in 2015, and OBama of course is stating he will never sign the bill.
Late Wednesday, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi sent a “Dear Colleague” letter urging a “no” vote on the Republican measure, saying it “slams the door on desperate mothers and children fleeing ISIS’s unspeakable violence.” It was signed by other Democrats including Lofgren and California Rep. Ted Lieu of Torrance and Rep. Adam Schiff of Burbank, ranking member of the Intelligence Committee.